2012年12月31日星期一
2012年12月9日星期日
2012年11月4日星期日
臨場睇馬心得
1. 大長途馬在沙圈及出跑道時，有時會呆呆滯滯，甚至推都唔郁，其實係氣定神閒。
2. 老馬跑肥唔跑瘦，若見身瘦切勿捧場，相反，肥些少唔係問題。
3. 睇灰馬毛色靚唔靚，呈胭脂紅當然最好，但若見黑白分明其實狀態已不錯了。
4. 大熱天時好多馬都會流汗，如果神色好的話不用介懷，相反，一滴汗不流之馬，小心是患了乾皮症，更加不妙。
5. 有些馬行沙圈時後腳會跛吓跛吓，這是馬兒的慣性，所以絕對不會影響陣上的表現。
6. 未跑過濕地之馬，若見耳仔戙戙，伸埋條舌出來舔雨水，未跑已知是匹游水馬。
7. 肉身馬要睇肥唔肥好考功夫，反而聽馬兒過步及出跳時落腳重唔重，即聲響大與否，會較易察覺是否過肥。
8. 有些馬行沙圈時會不停發出呼氣聲響，其實屬馬匹正常現象，不用太介懷，但若見有打噴嚏情況則不太妙。
9. 反白眼馬匹在陣上多數會有些神經質，所以出賽時表現也較失準。
10.馬尾只要生得整齊便算及格，但個別短尾之馬，競跑時平衡力會較差，在彎急路斜的谷中上陣會較吃虧。
11.競賽時豎尾的馬匹，一般來說皆並非好貨色，上陣全程豎尾，而又跑得好的，只屬少數例子。
12.馬匹紮腳其中一個作用係保護馬腳，有些馬次次都紮腳，一樣打疊3W，所以不要當此類馬無到。
13.馬匹行圈時如見口部流白泡，絕對不用擔心，相反更要重注，因為這樣才代表隻馬弗到震，狀態接近十足水準。
2. 老馬跑肥唔跑瘦，若見身瘦切勿捧場，相反，肥些少唔係問題。
3. 睇灰馬毛色靚唔靚，呈胭脂紅當然最好，但若見黑白分明其實狀態已不錯了。
4. 大熱天時好多馬都會流汗，如果神色好的話不用介懷，相反，一滴汗不流之馬，小心是患了乾皮症，更加不妙。
5. 有些馬行沙圈時後腳會跛吓跛吓，這是馬兒的慣性，所以絕對不會影響陣上的表現。
6. 未跑過濕地之馬，若見耳仔戙戙，伸埋條舌出來舔雨水，未跑已知是匹游水馬。
7. 肉身馬要睇肥唔肥好考功夫，反而聽馬兒過步及出跳時落腳重唔重，即聲響大與否，會較易察覺是否過肥。
8. 有些馬行沙圈時會不停發出呼氣聲響，其實屬馬匹正常現象，不用太介懷，但若見有打噴嚏情況則不太妙。
9. 反白眼馬匹在陣上多數會有些神經質，所以出賽時表現也較失準。
10.馬尾只要生得整齊便算及格，但個別短尾之馬，競跑時平衡力會較差，在彎急路斜的谷中上陣會較吃虧。
11.競賽時豎尾的馬匹，一般來說皆並非好貨色，上陣全程豎尾，而又跑得好的，只屬少數例子。
12.馬匹紮腳其中一個作用係保護馬腳，有些馬次次都紮腳，一樣打疊3W，所以不要當此類馬無到。
13.馬匹行圈時如見口部流白泡，絕對不用擔心，相反更要重注，因為這樣才代表隻馬弗到震，狀態接近十足水準。
2012年10月4日星期四
特首本性盡見人前
http://hk.apple.nextmedia.com/news/art/20121004/18031269
一宗海難令梁振英露底，讓其無良、無恥及無能本性盡見人前。
當晚慘劇發生時為八時廿三分，距國慶煙花匯演尚有半小時有多。要知道這不是普通意外，而是嚴重海難，相信香港政府極有效率的通報機制，絕對能傳到梁振英耳裏。假如梁振英果斷地立即取消煙花匯演，調動維港內的救援船隻全力趕往搜救，或有更佳效果，不過他並沒有這樣做。他以「國慶為大」的心態，並礙於政治因素而不敢去叫停煙花匯演，結果任由這邊廂發生海難，那邊仍然大放煙花去粉飾太平，恍如以放煙花的鼓樂喧天去掩蓋遇難者的哀嚎，可謂泯滅良知。
其二，事後有記者詢問他有無想過取消煙花匯演，他竟回答「這個應該是主辦單位回答的問題。」可是國慶煙花匯演節目由民政事務處負責統籌，廣東省各級政協委員聯誼會贊助，旅遊發展局網頁列出煙花匯演的組織機構正是民政事務局。而民政事務局聽命於誰呢？將責任諉過主辦單位，亦即是其下屬民政事務局，就是無恥至極！
其三，當大夥兒在瑪麗醫院忙得團團轉的時候，梁振英竟帶同一眾局長和消防處處長陪同中聯辦副主任李剛到場，佯稱探望傷者，實為讓李剛高調會見傳媒宣佈大陸已派打撈船隻到香港。他們的行徑，一如京官到災難現場訓示一樣，完全不顧緊急救援工作會受他們阻礙。要知道，各大部門首長尤其是消防處處長，當遇上大災難時互相協調，工作如爭分奪秒，哪有時間離開崗位去當人肉佈景板襯托這位在政府內沒有任何職銜的外人李剛去做「秀」？回想一九九六年嘉利大廈大火發生時，時任港督彭定康並沒有第一時間到現場指揮救災工作，而是在第二天大火完全救熄後才到現場，後來記者問他為何如此姍姍來遲，肥彭回答「當消防員正努力撲救大火的時候，我來這裏對救援工作並無幫助，只會影響消防員的工作。」以「肥彭」和「狼英」相比，無論政治判斷和管治能力，俱高下立見。
香港的悲哀，就是特首是由北京欽點產生，無論董建華、曾蔭權還是梁振英，每當發生任何事故，他們都不會站在香港人的一邊，其所思所想全是為其主子服務。而論人格和能力，更一蟹不如一蟹，梁振英相比上兩任特首，更加無良、無恥及無能。哀哉香港人，無論怎樣不滿，在目前制度下，都不能用選票將其踢走。
一宗海難令梁振英露底，讓其無良、無恥及無能本性盡見人前。
當晚慘劇發生時為八時廿三分，距國慶煙花匯演尚有半小時有多。要知道這不是普通意外，而是嚴重海難，相信香港政府極有效率的通報機制，絕對能傳到梁振英耳裏。假如梁振英果斷地立即取消煙花匯演，調動維港內的救援船隻全力趕往搜救，或有更佳效果，不過他並沒有這樣做。他以「國慶為大」的心態，並礙於政治因素而不敢去叫停煙花匯演，結果任由這邊廂發生海難，那邊仍然大放煙花去粉飾太平，恍如以放煙花的鼓樂喧天去掩蓋遇難者的哀嚎，可謂泯滅良知。
其二，事後有記者詢問他有無想過取消煙花匯演，他竟回答「這個應該是主辦單位回答的問題。」可是國慶煙花匯演節目由民政事務處負責統籌，廣東省各級政協委員聯誼會贊助，旅遊發展局網頁列出煙花匯演的組織機構正是民政事務局。而民政事務局聽命於誰呢？將責任諉過主辦單位，亦即是其下屬民政事務局，就是無恥至極！
其三，當大夥兒在瑪麗醫院忙得團團轉的時候，梁振英竟帶同一眾局長和消防處處長陪同中聯辦副主任李剛到場，佯稱探望傷者，實為讓李剛高調會見傳媒宣佈大陸已派打撈船隻到香港。他們的行徑，一如京官到災難現場訓示一樣，完全不顧緊急救援工作會受他們阻礙。要知道，各大部門首長尤其是消防處處長，當遇上大災難時互相協調，工作如爭分奪秒，哪有時間離開崗位去當人肉佈景板襯托這位在政府內沒有任何職銜的外人李剛去做「秀」？回想一九九六年嘉利大廈大火發生時，時任港督彭定康並沒有第一時間到現場指揮救災工作，而是在第二天大火完全救熄後才到現場，後來記者問他為何如此姍姍來遲，肥彭回答「當消防員正努力撲救大火的時候，我來這裏對救援工作並無幫助，只會影響消防員的工作。」以「肥彭」和「狼英」相比，無論政治判斷和管治能力，俱高下立見。
香港的悲哀，就是特首是由北京欽點產生，無論董建華、曾蔭權還是梁振英，每當發生任何事故，他們都不會站在香港人的一邊，其所思所想全是為其主子服務。而論人格和能力，更一蟹不如一蟹，梁振英相比上兩任特首，更加無良、無恥及無能。哀哉香港人，無論怎樣不滿，在目前制度下，都不能用選票將其踢走。
2012年7月28日星期六
2012年7月2日星期一
公權力將人民推向對立面
http://hk.apple.nextmedia.com/news/art/20120702/16475717
回歸前的香港，無論民間團體抗爭還是記者到場採訪，往往都在法例底線上「打擦邊球」，而警方在大部份情況亦能做到盡量克制，三方面各師各法互相博弈，並沒有將對方推到對立面。
時至一九九七年，警方在回歸慶典會場外播放貝多芬《第五號交響曲》以掩蓋示威者的聲音，時任警務處處長李明逵強調播放音樂只是為了緩和現場緊張的氣氛，雖然此着有「打茅波」之嫌，但總算沒有過份使用暴力，也可見其有「不戰而屈人之兵」的智慧。
時至今日，當胡錦濤參觀啟德郵輪碼頭工地時，香港記者在採訪區內向其發問：「香港人希望平反六四，你聽得到嗎？」即被警方扣押十五分鐘查問，事後發言人無法解釋原委。回看二○○○年十月，董建華赴北京述職時，有線電視記者張寶華（現已易名為張洺華）在北京當眾「咬住唔放」追問當時的國家主席江澤民是否欽點董建華連任香港特別行政區行政長官，令江澤民氣上心頭，破口怒斥香港記者，其中「 too simple, sometimes naive」和「悶聲發大財」更成了其名句。雖則如此，當地公安並沒有動張寶華分毫。莫非今日香港警察連十數年前的北京公安都不如？
另一邊廂，民間團體向國家主席胡錦濤表達訴求時，被誘至巨型水馬重重圍困的示威區內，慘遭胡椒噴霧迎面狂噴，也殃及在場採訪的記者。要知道，使用暴力向來不是平民的強項，示威者和新聞工作者都是各司其職，做好本身角色，犯不着和訓練有素的警察正面衝突，但這並不代表會啞忍氣燄越趨張狂的公權力。執法時因政治考量而濫用暴力，這樣只會將示威者和本應定位中立的新聞工作者連成一線，並感召更多沉默群眾挺身，以各種形式和公權力對抗，令本來民望偏低的政府的管治成本增加，施政更寸步難行。
回歸前的香港，無論民間團體抗爭還是記者到場採訪，往往都在法例底線上「打擦邊球」，而警方在大部份情況亦能做到盡量克制，三方面各師各法互相博弈，並沒有將對方推到對立面。
時至一九九七年，警方在回歸慶典會場外播放貝多芬《第五號交響曲》以掩蓋示威者的聲音，時任警務處處長李明逵強調播放音樂只是為了緩和現場緊張的氣氛，雖然此着有「打茅波」之嫌，但總算沒有過份使用暴力，也可見其有「不戰而屈人之兵」的智慧。
時至今日，當胡錦濤參觀啟德郵輪碼頭工地時，香港記者在採訪區內向其發問：「香港人希望平反六四，你聽得到嗎？」即被警方扣押十五分鐘查問，事後發言人無法解釋原委。回看二○○○年十月，董建華赴北京述職時，有線電視記者張寶華（現已易名為張洺華）在北京當眾「咬住唔放」追問當時的國家主席江澤民是否欽點董建華連任香港特別行政區行政長官，令江澤民氣上心頭，破口怒斥香港記者，其中「 too simple, sometimes naive」和「悶聲發大財」更成了其名句。雖則如此，當地公安並沒有動張寶華分毫。莫非今日香港警察連十數年前的北京公安都不如？
另一邊廂，民間團體向國家主席胡錦濤表達訴求時，被誘至巨型水馬重重圍困的示威區內，慘遭胡椒噴霧迎面狂噴，也殃及在場採訪的記者。要知道，使用暴力向來不是平民的強項，示威者和新聞工作者都是各司其職，做好本身角色，犯不着和訓練有素的警察正面衝突，但這並不代表會啞忍氣燄越趨張狂的公權力。執法時因政治考量而濫用暴力，這樣只會將示威者和本應定位中立的新聞工作者連成一線，並感召更多沉默群眾挺身，以各種形式和公權力對抗，令本來民望偏低的政府的管治成本增加，施政更寸步難行。
2012年6月26日星期二
2012年6月13日星期三
Boney M - Rasputin
There lived a certain man in Russia long ago
He was big and strong, in his eyes a flaming glow
Most people looked at him with terror and with fear
But to Moscow chicks he was such a lovely dear
He could preach the bible like a preacher
Full of ecstacy and fire
But he also was the kind of teacher
Women would desire
RA RA RASPUTIN
Lover of the Russian queen
There was a cat that really was gone
RA RA RASPUTIN
Russia's greatest love machine
It was a shame how he carried on
He ruled the Russian land and never mind the czar
But the kasachok he danced really wunderbar
In all affairs of state he was the man to please
But he was real great when he had a girl to squeeze
For the queen he was no wheeler dealer
Though she'd heard the things he'd done
She believed he was a holy healer
Who would heal her son
(Spoken:)
But when his drinking and lusting and his hunger
for power became known to more and more people,
the demands to do something about this outrageous
man became louder and louder.
"This man's just got to go!" declared his enemies
But the ladies begged "Don't you try to do it, please"
No doubt this Rasputin had lots of hidden charms
Though he was a brute they just fell into his arms
Then one night some men of higher standing
Set a trap, they're not to blame
"Come to visit us" they kept demanding
And he really came
RA RA RASPUTIN
Lover of the Russian queen
They put some poison into his wine
RA RA RASPUTIN
Russia's greatest love machine
He drank it all and he said "I feel fine"
RA RA RASPUTIN
Lover of the Russian queen
They didn't quit, they wanted his head
RA RA RASPUTIN
Russia's greatest love machine
And so they shot him till he was dead
(Spoken:) Oh, those Russians...
2012年4月25日星期三
2012年2月27日星期一
Jesse Livermore’s 5 money management rules
1) Don’t lose money.
Don’t lose your stake. A speculator without cash is like a store-owner with no inventory. Cash is your inventory, your lifeline, and your best friend. Without cash, you are out of business. Don’t lose your line.
There is no place in speculating for hoping, for guessing, for fear, for greed, for emotions. The tape tells the truth.
2) Always establish a stop.
A successful speculator must set a firm stop before making a trade and must never sustain a loss of more than 10 percent of invested capital.
I have also learned that when your broker calls you and tells you he needs more money for a margin requirement on a stock that is declining, tell him to sell out the position. When you buy a stock at 50 and it goes to 45, do not buy more in order to average out your price. The stock has not done what you predicted; that is enough of an indication that your judgment was wrong. Take your losses quickly and get out.
Remember, never meet a margin call, and never average losses.
Many times I would close out a position before suffering a 10 percent loss. I did this simply because the stock was not acting right from the start. Often my instincts would whisper to me:J.L., this stock has a malaise, it is a lagging dullard. It just does not feel right, and I would sell out of my position in the blink of an eye.
I absolutely believe that price movement patterns are repeated and appear over and over with slight variations. This is because humans drive the stocks, and human nature never changes.
Take your losses quickly. Easy to say, but hard to do.
3) Keep cash in reserve.
The successful speculator must always have cash in reserve for exactly the right moment. There is a never-ending stream of opportunities in the stock market and, if you miss a good opportunity, wait a little while, be patient, and another one will come along. Don’t reach for a trade, all the conditions for a good trade must be on your side. Remember, you do not have to be in the market all the time.
The desire to always be in the game is one of the speculator’s greatest hazards.
When playing the stock market, there are times when your money should be waiting on the sidelines in cash waiting to come into play. Time is not money “ time is time, and money is money.
Often money that is just sitting can later be moved into the right situation at the right time and make a fast fortune. Patience is the key to success, not speed. Time is a cunning speculator’s best friend if it is used wisely.
4) Let the position ride.
As long as the stock is behaving normally, do not be in a hurry to take a profit. You must know you are right in your basic judgment, or you would have no profit at all. If there is nothing basically negative, then let it ride. It may grow into a very large profit. As long as the action of the overall market and the stock do not give you cause to worry, have the courage of your convictions, and stay with it.
When I was in a profit on a trade, I was never nervous.
Of course the opposite is true as well. If I bought a stock and it went against me I would sell it immediately. You can’t stop and try to figure out why a stock is going in the wrong direction. The fact is that it is going in the wrong direction, and that is enough evidence for an experienced speculator to close the trade.
I do not and never have blindly bought and held a stock.
To buy and hold blindly on the basis that a stock is in great company or a strong industry, or that the economy is generally healthy, is, to me the equivalent of stock market suicide.
Stick with the winners. Let them ride until you have a clear reason to sell.
5) Take the profits in cash.
I recommend parking 50 percent of the profits from a successful trade, especially when the trade doubled the original capital. Set the money aside, put it in the bank, hold it in reserve, or lock it up in a safe-deposit box.
Like winning in the casino, it’s a good idea, now and then to take your winnings off the table and turn them into cash is the single largest regret I have ever had in my financial life was not paying enough attention to this rule.
Don’t lose your stake. A speculator without cash is like a store-owner with no inventory. Cash is your inventory, your lifeline, and your best friend. Without cash, you are out of business. Don’t lose your line.
There is no place in speculating for hoping, for guessing, for fear, for greed, for emotions. The tape tells the truth.
2) Always establish a stop.
A successful speculator must set a firm stop before making a trade and must never sustain a loss of more than 10 percent of invested capital.
I have also learned that when your broker calls you and tells you he needs more money for a margin requirement on a stock that is declining, tell him to sell out the position. When you buy a stock at 50 and it goes to 45, do not buy more in order to average out your price. The stock has not done what you predicted; that is enough of an indication that your judgment was wrong. Take your losses quickly and get out.
Remember, never meet a margin call, and never average losses.
Many times I would close out a position before suffering a 10 percent loss. I did this simply because the stock was not acting right from the start. Often my instincts would whisper to me:J.L., this stock has a malaise, it is a lagging dullard. It just does not feel right, and I would sell out of my position in the blink of an eye.
I absolutely believe that price movement patterns are repeated and appear over and over with slight variations. This is because humans drive the stocks, and human nature never changes.
Take your losses quickly. Easy to say, but hard to do.
3) Keep cash in reserve.
The successful speculator must always have cash in reserve for exactly the right moment. There is a never-ending stream of opportunities in the stock market and, if you miss a good opportunity, wait a little while, be patient, and another one will come along. Don’t reach for a trade, all the conditions for a good trade must be on your side. Remember, you do not have to be in the market all the time.
The desire to always be in the game is one of the speculator’s greatest hazards.
When playing the stock market, there are times when your money should be waiting on the sidelines in cash waiting to come into play. Time is not money “ time is time, and money is money.
Often money that is just sitting can later be moved into the right situation at the right time and make a fast fortune. Patience is the key to success, not speed. Time is a cunning speculator’s best friend if it is used wisely.
4) Let the position ride.
As long as the stock is behaving normally, do not be in a hurry to take a profit. You must know you are right in your basic judgment, or you would have no profit at all. If there is nothing basically negative, then let it ride. It may grow into a very large profit. As long as the action of the overall market and the stock do not give you cause to worry, have the courage of your convictions, and stay with it.
When I was in a profit on a trade, I was never nervous.
Of course the opposite is true as well. If I bought a stock and it went against me I would sell it immediately. You can’t stop and try to figure out why a stock is going in the wrong direction. The fact is that it is going in the wrong direction, and that is enough evidence for an experienced speculator to close the trade.
I do not and never have blindly bought and held a stock.
To buy and hold blindly on the basis that a stock is in great company or a strong industry, or that the economy is generally healthy, is, to me the equivalent of stock market suicide.
Stick with the winners. Let them ride until you have a clear reason to sell.
5) Take the profits in cash.
I recommend parking 50 percent of the profits from a successful trade, especially when the trade doubled the original capital. Set the money aside, put it in the bank, hold it in reserve, or lock it up in a safe-deposit box.
Like winning in the casino, it’s a good idea, now and then to take your winnings off the table and turn them into cash is the single largest regret I have ever had in my financial life was not paying enough attention to this rule.
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